1) They are national--this fight will be state-by-state.
2) No actual voting has yet to take place--the political landscape is littered with supposed front-runners brought low by the ballot box.
3) The primaries are so re-arranged, and bunched up, this year that all bets are off--the political pundits you see predicting this and that now will likely look very foolish when the pinball game begins.
Public Opinion
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